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هندناصرالسويدي
كاتبةإماراتية
Hend Nasser Alsuwaidi
Emirati writer

AI on the Test Bench Lessons from the U.S. Army War College

The U.S‭. ‬Army War College attracted considerable attention from military and academic circles in April after publishing the results of an unprecedented experiment involving four prominent artificial intelligence-powered large language models‭ (‬LLMs‭): ‬ChatGPT‭, ‬Gemini‭, ‬Claude‭, ‬and Grok‭. ‬The models were subjected to a comprehensive oral examination similar to the assessment undertaken‭ ‬by the college’s military and civilian students‭.‬

All four models successfully passed the examination‭. ‬However‭, ‬the results also revealed important limitations in these technologies and offered valuable lessons for military educational institutions worldwide‭. ‬To understand the significance of this experiment‭, ‬it is first necessary to examine the nature of education and assessment at U.S‭. ‬war colleges and comparable institutions‭.‬

Military Education at War Colleges‭: ‬Beyond Lectures and Traditional Examinations

War colleges and national defence colleges represent the highest level of Professional Military Education‭ (‬PME‭), ‬for military officers and civilians preparing to assume senior leadership and strategic positions‭. ‬Their role extends beyond the transfer of knowledge to developing the ability to think critically‭, ‬analyse complex problems‭, ‬formulate strategic options‭, ‬and provide advice‭ ‬to decision-makers‭.‬

For this reason‭, ‬these institutions rely on a combination of academic studies‭, ‬seminar discussions‭, ‬individual research‭, ‬case studies‭, ‬and strategic exercises rather than traditional examinations alone‭. ‬Students are expected to connect military history with public policy‭, ‬national security‭, ‬and international relations‭, ‬while demonstrating their ability to think and analyse rather than simply recall information‭.‬

The Comprehensive Examination‭: ‬How Did the Idea Emerge‭?‬

For more than a century since the establishment of the U.S‭. ‬Army War College in 1901‭, ‬student assessment relied primarily on research papers‭, ‬academic studies‭, ‬classroom participation‭, ‬and seminars‭. ‬Despite the college’s prestigious standing‭, ‬there was no final comprehensive examination bringing together the knowledge acquired throughout an entire academic year in a single assessment session‭.‬

During the first decade of the 21st century‭, ‬however‭, ‬military professional education circles increasingly debated whether traditional assessment methods were capable of measuring the skills required of strategic leaders‭. ‬A student may be able to produce an outstanding research paper after weeks of work and revision‭, ‬yet struggle to analyse a complex problem immediately or defend an argument under the pressure of successive questions‭.‬

The War College’s adoption of the comprehensive examination came at a time when U.S‭. ‬forces were engaged in complex operations in Iraq and Afghanistan‭. ‬This experience reinforced the importance of preparing leaders capable of operating in strategic environments characterised by ambiguity‭, ‬complexity‭, ‬and rapid change—skills that are difficult to measure through written research alone‭. ‬The college subsequently reviewed its assessment system and‭, ‬in 2013‭, ‬adopted the Comprehensive Oral Examination as a key requirement for graduation‭.‬

For many War College students‭, ‬the day of the comprehensive examination is regarded as one of the most challenging and stressful‭ ‬points of the programme‭. ‬Unlike traditional examinations based on written answers or multiple-choice questions‭, ‬it involves a direct exchange between the student and a panel of faculty members‭. ‬All students are required to take the examination‭, ‬and before‭ ‬entering the examination room‭, ‬they do not know which questions they will face or how the discussion will develop‭. ‬This requires a comprehensive understanding of the subjects studied throughout the year‭.‬

The examination is not intended to measure how much information a student can memorise‭, ‬but rather how the student thinks‭. ‬Assessment panels seek to examine several core abilities‭, ‬including analysing complex strategic problems‭, ‬connecting military history‭ ‬with contemporary issues‭, ‬evaluating different options and discussing their advantages and risks‭, ‬constructing evidence-based arguments‭, ‬defending intellectual positions under pressure‭, ‬and revising assessments when new information emerges‭.‬

In this respect‭, ‬the examination resembles the situations a commander or strategic adviser may encounter in practice‭, ‬when required to provide a rapid professional assessment to a senior commander or political decision-maker‭.‬

AI Enters the Classroom

In recent years‭, ‬the U.S‭. ‬Army War College has not been isolated from the transformation brought about by generative artificial‭ ‬intelligence‭. ‬Like civilian universities‭, ‬military educational institutions have begun examining how these tools can be used in‭ ‬education‭, ‬research‭, ‬and analysis‭. ‬Particular attention has focused on the ability of large language models to summarise information‭, ‬analyse texts‭, ‬propose alternatives‭, ‬and assist in preparing research and academic papers‭.‬

The key question‭, ‬however‭, ‬remained‭: ‬if these models are capable of producing convincing texts and sophisticated analyses‭, ‬could‭ ‬they pass the same examinations administered to War College officers‭?‬

This question led to the experiment conducted by several members of the college’s faculty during 2026‭.‬

An Unprecedented Experiment

As noted earlier‭, ‬researchers subjected four of the most prominent commercially available AI models to an examination designed to simulate the comprehensive oral examination administered to students at the U.S‭. ‬Army War College‭. ‬The researchers used a benchmark known as MilBench‭, ‬an assessment framework designed to measure AI performance in areas considered fundamental to strategic‭ ‬military education‭, ‬including critical thinking‭, ‬strategic analysis‭, ‬the use of military history‭, ‬connecting different concepts‭, ‬and defending arguments during discussion‭.‬

The models underwent extended questioning sessions similar to those faced by actual students‭. ‬The assessment did not consist merely of separate questions‭; ‬instead‭, ‬it involved continuous dialogue requiring the models to maintain intellectual coherence and‭ ‬provide consistent‭, ‬substantive‭, ‬and in-depth responses throughout the discussion‭.‬

When faculty members decided to subject the AI models to the examination‭, ‬they were not testing their ability to recall information‭. ‬Rather‭, ‬they were assessing whether the models could perform the same task expected of a strategic leader‭: ‬analyse a complex problem‭, ‬connect diverse pieces of information‭, ‬and defend their conclusions during an extended and evolving discussion‭.‬

For this reason‭, ‬the results of the experiment were particularly significant‭. ‬The measure of success was not knowledge alone‭, ‬but the ability to exercise strategic thinking as defined by one of the world’s most established military educational institutions‭.‬

Results‭: ‬Impressive Performance and Clear Limitations

The results showed that all four models successfully passed the examination‭, ‬which researchers viewed as an important indication‭ ‬of the significant advances made in artificial intelligence applications in recent years‭. ‬However‭, ‬the results also revealed clear differences among the models‭, ‬with one outperforming the others notably in analytical quality and its ability to address complex questions‭. ‬Claude received an A‭+, ‬while the other models received B‭+ ‬grades‭. ‬The most significant observation‭, ‬however‭, ‬was‭ ‬that the performance of all four models began to decline as the questioning sessions became longer‭. ‬As the dialogue continued‭, ‬their responses became more repetitive‭, ‬less substantive‭, ‬and less capable of developing ideas or constructing new arguments‭.‬

Researchers attributed this phenomenon to the current computational and technical limitations of large language models‭. ‬Some researchers and analysts have described it as a form of‭ ‬“Artificial Cognitive Fatigue‭,‬”‭ ‬in which performance quality declines as dialogue and questioning become prolonged‭.‬

Perhaps the most important finding from a military perspective is that commanders are not normally assessed on their ability to‭ ‬provide a good answer to a single question‭. ‬Rather‭, ‬they must maintain the quality of their thinking and the consistency of their judgments throughout lengthy discussions‭, ‬assessments‭, ‬and decision-making processes‭.‬

This highlights the distinction between the ability to produce a convincing response and the ability to exercise sustained professional judgment in environments characterised by pressure and uncertainty‭. ‬In other words‭, ‬the models demonstrated a strong ability to retrieve and analyse knowledge‭, ‬but faced greater difficulty maintaining the same level of performance throughout a lengthy and complex dialogue‭.‬

What Do These Findings Mean‭?‬

The researchers concluded that artificial intelligence can serve as a highly valuable support tool in advanced military education‭, ‬but it does not constitute a substitute for the student‭, ‬faculty member‭, ‬or military commander‭.‬

Current models can provide information and preliminary analysis at very high speed and may assist in exploring alternatives‭, ‬reviewing ideas‭, ‬or summarising studies‭. ‬However‭, ‬they still lack certain characteristics associated with human judgment‭, ‬including‭ ‬an understanding of the full context‭, ‬assessment of political risks‭, ‬appreciation of human factors‭, ‬and decision-making under pressure‭.‬

Accordingly‭, ‬the researchers recommended treating artificial intelligence much like a capable staff officer—one that nevertheless requires direction‭, ‬supervision‭, ‬and verification of its outputs‭.‬

Lessons for Educational Institutions

The experiment offers several important lessons for military and security educational institutions‭. ‬Foremost among them is the recognition that artificial intelligence has become an educational and professional tool that should be understood and integrated‭ ‬carefully into curricula and educational programmes‭.‬

At the same time‭, ‬the importance of critical-thinking and strategic-analysis skills has become greater than ever‭. ‬If machines can retrieve information rapidly‭, ‬the real value of a leader lies in the ability to interpret that information and apply it effectively to decision-making‭. ‬The experience also highlights the importance of oral examinations and interactive discussions as methods of assessing students‭’ ‬actual capabilities‭. ‬Such methods test thinking in real time rather than merely the ability to prepare written responses‭.‬

The experiment also raises an important question about the suitability of assessment methods used by some advanced military educational institutions‭. ‬As AI tools become increasingly capable of assisting with research papers and reports‭, ‬greater emphasis will need to be placed on assessment methods that measure direct thinking‭, ‬oral analysis‭, ‬and the ability to defend positions in real time‭.‬

Finally‭, ‬the experiment highlights the need for clear frameworks and policies governing the use of artificial intelligence in military educational institutions‭. ‬Such frameworks should enable institutions to benefit from AI capabilities while preserving academic integrity and developing students‭’ ‬independent-thinking skills‭.‬

Conclusion

The U.S‭. ‬Army War College experiment demonstrated that artificial intelligence applications are now capable of passing examinations that‭, ‬until recently‭, ‬were considered the exclusive domain of humans‭. ‬At the same time‭, ‬it revealed clear limitations that continue to separate information processing from comprehensive strategic judgment‭.‬

The true value of the experiment may therefore lie not in demonstrating that AI can pass a high-level academic examination‭, ‬but‭ ‬in reminding us that preparing leaders in the 21st century is no longer primarily about possessing knowledge‭; ‬it is about using‭ ‬that knowledge wisely‭.‬

While information has become accessible to everyone‭, ‬sound professional judgment and the ability to make decisions under conditions of uncertainty and pressure remain among the human qualities that AI has yet to fully replicate‭.‬

By‭: ‬Major General‭ (‬Ret‭.) ‬Khaled Ali Al-Sumaiti

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